Arizona · limited-entry

Arizona black bear draw odds, by unit.

Many states sell over-the-counter; the draw odds story applies to limited-entry spring hunts and quota units. Generally easier draws than ungulates.

Source · Arizona F&W

Unit explorer

13 units · 20212021

Filter to your exact hunt. The chip on each card reads the point-creep trend before you read a single number — expand a card for the year-by-year detail and source.

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Reading the table

Point creep is a trend, not a guarantee.

A unit with +4 point creep across the available window has gotten 4 points harder to draw across that span — but a single year of low applicants or a quota bump can reverse it. The chart shows the actual recorded years; gaps are gaps. Numbers here come straight from Arizona F&W and aren't smoothed or estimated.

Draw it. Then hunt it.

Arizona black bear is a long-points hunt for a lot of units. Once you have the tag, Bield: Hunt tells you which stand to sit and what conditions are paying off — based on your own sits.